New-ish Beginnings
my Powerbook crashed on me so this will be the digest version of my original musings on post-Election thoughts.
I predicted on a bet on Sunday (without looking at any final polls) the following results for yesterday's election:
132- Conservatives
90- Liberals
58- Bloc Quebecois
27- NDP
1- Independent
The actual results are as follows:
124- Conservatives
103- Liberals
51- Bloc Quebecois
29- NDP
1- Independent
I'm surprised that the Bloc were unable to grab more seats than they did. The Federalist in me is pleased. It's good to see both the Liberals and Conservatives with some sort of representation in Quebec.
Regionally, nothing's changed, with the West still more or less Conservative (particularly, Alberta's Blue Sweep) while all of Southern Ontario went Blue except for the GTA (which has become a Liberal/NDP bastion). The fact that few urban areas were willing to consider the Conservatives as an alternative distresses me as to whether or not there will be a new divide among Canada between the urban and rural populations vis a vis the 'East-West' clash (which actually baffles me a little, in that we've been unable to solve the problem before). While the pundits hope that a western Canada PM will change that (i.e. voice Western Canada issues), the problem remains that the attitude of Us vs. Them is still with us, that we're not trying to reconcile ourselves into one nation but that the other kids have the power now.
However, that is not to say that I don't believe Harper will just focus on Western Canada issues. His party's put out a very articulate vision of what they want Canada to be (even if you disagree with it) and have gained support throughout Canada. For that, they deserve credit and kudos. I dislike the knee-jerk pessimism of him being in office that is prevalent with my peers. Martin's disappointing run at the office shows that even with people we thought had the vision of Canada that we thought was good, they don't necessary turn out to achieve anything. For that, PM Harper should be given at minimum, the benefit of the doubt, if not a fair chance for him to show what he can do for all of Canada.
I don't believe that Harper has a hidden agenda, and with the configuration of our future Parliament, it seems like there will be much consensus building that he'll have to preside over. How he'll reconcile the social conservative wing of his party with the rest of Canada will be interesting. Another question will be whether the consensus needed will result in actual compromise in the bills that are passed (since it'll require 3 of 4 parties to vote in favour) or whether they'll be diluted to mean nothing. How his cabinet will fair will also play a factor, since none of them will have any experience handling a Federal Portfolio (even if they do have provincial experience). It's been said before. It's easy to criticize and be the opposition. It's much more difficult once you're in power, how to actually run the machine that is the federal government.
With that, I wish PM Harper luck and fortitude. Maybe we can finally leave the doldrums and restart the national conversation about what it means to be Canadian and how we should treat each other.




